FC Oss 1-1 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
15%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.55
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
16%
6.02
X/2
15%
6.1
X/X
5%
5.92
2/1
7%
23.1
2/2
14%
3.52
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.36/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.49
+3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.1 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
3W-1D-2L
AWAY PSV II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 1.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
251 Passes 451
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2025 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
13.09.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 0-3 HT 0-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
03.05.2024 PSV II PSV II 4-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
18.08.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 4-1 HT 3-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.05.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 1-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
05.09.2022 PSV II PSV II 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-1
AWAY PSV II
2.93 xG 0.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
22 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
221 Passes 453
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
40 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss and PSV II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 19% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, FC Oss had 38% of the ball to PSV II's 62%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 2.93 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Oss had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Oss and 1.67 for PSV II.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs PSV II?

FC Oss 1-1 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Oss win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 42%, draw 19%, PSV II 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Oss), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Oss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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