Den Bosch 2-2 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.0
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
8%
5.3
X/2
10%
6.6
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
2/2
15%
4.2
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.62/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.80
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
17.5 Crosses 11.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
1W-3D-2L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.59 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 298
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-3 Den Bosch Den Bosch HAZ
01.02.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-1 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
24.08.2018 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
23.02.2018 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
08.10.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.03.2017 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
2-2
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
0.90 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 13
344 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 28
34 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and RKC Waalwijk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Den Bosch at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Den Bosch had 56% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 44%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.90 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Den Bosch and 1.50 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs RKC Waalwijk?

Den Bosch 2-2 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 45%, draw 21%, RKC Waalwijk 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
3 Oct 2025
00:00 Willem II vs Roda Analysis →
21:00 FC Oss vs PSV II Analysis →
21:00 Helmond Sport vs Almere City Analysis →
21:00 AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag Analysis →
21:00 Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
21:00 Ajax II vs De Graafschap Analysis →