Dordrecht 2-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.9
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
5.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.63
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.24
X/2
9%
7.47
X/X
8%
6.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.6
2/2
20%
4.5
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.6 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.7pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -2%
1.42/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.58
+31% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
21.0 Crosses 19.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
4W-0D-2L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
18.10.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
16.02.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
08.12.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
17.02.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-2 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.10.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.78 xG 0.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
267 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht beat VVV-Venlo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 52% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 48%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.78 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dordrecht and 1.17 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo?

Dordrecht 2-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 46%, draw 18%, VVV-Venlo 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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