Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Al Gharraf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
36%
-10.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+11.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.18/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.99
+2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharraf nicked a narrow win over Al Minaa Basra 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Gharraf as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Al Gharraf?

Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Gharraf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharraf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 26%, draw 30%, Al Gharraf 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharraf), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharraf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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