Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.50/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.13
-9% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / -36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newroz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.03.2025 Newroz 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya squeezed past Newroz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Quwa Al Jawiya as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Newroz?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 54%, draw 31%, Newroz 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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