09/03/2025
·
23:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
32%
Draw
30%
34%
Away Win
36%
62%
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 2.5
38%
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
59%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newroz v Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Newroz
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
EU Bookmakers 39%
+17% /
+17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-32% /
-32%
1.81/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.40/2.00
+114%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+13%
/
-52%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
237 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
384 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Quwa Al Jawiya edged past Newroz 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Al Quwa Al Jawiya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Newroz 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Newroz 34%, draw 32%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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