Newroz 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 39%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.81/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.00
+114% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -52%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya edged past Newroz 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Al Quwa Al Jawiya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Newroz 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Newroz 34%, draw 32%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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