09/03/2025
·
21:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Al Hudod vs Al Karma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
23%
Draw
25%
55%
Away Win
59%
56%
Under 2.5
59%
44%
Over 2.5
41%
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
59%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hudod v Al Karma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Hudod
EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 62%
-24% /
-24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+66%
/
-43%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
43%
Ball Possession
57%
8
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
219 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
378 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Hudod vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karma ran out comfortable winners over Al Hudod 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Al Hudod vs Al Karma?
Al Hudod 0-3 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hudod vs Al Karma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Hudod 22%, draw 23%, Al Karma 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Karma)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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