09/03/2025
·
23:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Al Shorta vs Karbala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
73%
17%
Draw
18%
13%
Away Win
10%
60%
Under 2.5
48%
40%
Over 2.5
52%
33%
BTTS Yes
38%
67%
BTTS No
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shorta v Karbala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Shorta
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Karbala
EU Bookmakers 12%
+19% /
+19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.82
+17%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+101%
62%
Ball Possession
38%
16
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
3
520 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
229 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Shorta vs Karbala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Shorta cruised past Karbala 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (67%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Karbala?
Al Shorta 4-0 Karbala in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Karbala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 71%, draw 17%, Karbala 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Shorta)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
9 Mar 2025