09/03/2025
·
21:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Naft Al-Basra vs Al Talaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
58%
4-5 Goals
8%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
19%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
38%
Draw
32%
37%
Away Win
50%
74%
Under 2.5
62%
26%
Over 2.5
38%
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
52%
BTTS No
68%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft Al-Basra v Al Talaba — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft Al-Basra
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Talaba
EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+29% /
+29%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.42
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+55%
/
+72%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
6
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
5
154 · 62%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
410 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Naft Al-Basra vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Talaba beat Naft Al-Basra 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 24% / 38% / 37% — and on the day Al Talaba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (74%) came in.
What was the final score of Naft Al-Basra vs Al Talaba?
Naft Al-Basra 0-2 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft Al-Basra vs Al Talaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Basra 24%, draw 38%, Al Talaba 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRAK
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9 Mar 2025