Safa 0-1 Al Ansar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
50%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
50%
Away Win
56%
-5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.2pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 60%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.55/1.00
-100% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ansar
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.10.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 0-0 Safa Safa LUBN
19.07.2025 Safa Safa 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
21.06.2025 Safa Safa 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
07.05.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-0 HT 0-0 Safa Safa LUBN
14.03.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-1 HT 1-0 Safa Safa LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Safa
0-1
AWAY Al Ansar
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Safa vs Al Ansar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ansar nicked a narrow win over Safa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ansar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Safa had 43% of the ball to Al Ansar's 57%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ansar led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Safa and 1.00 for Al Ansar.

What was the final score of Safa vs Al Ansar?

Safa 0-1 Al Ansar in the Lebanon - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Al Ansar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Safa 27%, draw 23%, Al Ansar 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ansar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
13 Feb 2026
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