Export Sebaco 3-1 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.16/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.45
+12% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rancho Santana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 1-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
18.08.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
29.09.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 2-2 HT 2-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
FAQ Export Sebaco vs Rancho Santana
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Export Sebaco beat Rancho Santana 3-1 in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 13 Feb 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco have the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.00 for Rancho Santana.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Rancho Santana?

Export Sebaco 3-1 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 63%, draw 23%, Rancho Santana 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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