Vizela U23 1-4 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.42/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.35
-10% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
1-4
AWAY Farense U23
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 cruised past Vizela U23 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Farense U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 64% of the ball to Farense U23's 36%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Farense U23?

Vizela U23 1-4 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 38%, draw 26%, Farense U23 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vizela U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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