Portimonense U23 2-1 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.26/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.00
-21% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY União de Leiria U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 União de Leiria U23 1-3 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
21.08.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
2-1
AWAY União de Leiria U23
38% Ball Possession 62%
21 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 squeezed past União de Leiria U23 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portimonense U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 38% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 62%, shots finished 21-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.00 for União de Leiria U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Portimonense U23 2-1 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 42%, draw 25%, União de Leiria U23 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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