Foolad Khuzestan 1-3 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 13 Mar 2024

Foolad Khuzestan
1-3 HT 1-1
Sepahan
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Foolad Khuzestan vs Sepahan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.11
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.7pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Foolad Khuzestan v Sepahan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
0.87/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.15
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Foolad Khuzestan vs Sepahan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foolad Khuzestan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sepahan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
The Meetings
14.12.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 3-1 HT 2-1 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
07.02.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
31.08.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 0-1 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
29.05.2022 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 3-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
08.01.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 1-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
15.07.2021 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRANK
POST-MATCH Foolad Khuzestan vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan saw off Foolad Khuzestan 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Foolad Khuzestan and 1.17 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Foolad Khuzestan vs Sepahan?

Foolad Khuzestan 1-3 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foolad Khuzestan vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Foolad Khuzestan 30%, draw 26%, Sepahan 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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