Home Farm 4-1 Liffeys Pearse FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Leinster Senior League, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
No Pick
69%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
26%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
21%
+10.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Home Farm The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Liffeys Pearse FC The Market 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Home Farm vs Liffeys Pearse FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Home Farm swept aside Liffeys Pearse FC 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Liffeys Pearse FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Home Farm vs Liffeys Pearse FC?

Home Farm 4-1 Liffeys Pearse FC in the Ireland - Leinster Senior League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Home Farm vs Liffeys Pearse FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liffeys Pearse FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Home Farm 32%, draw 24%, Liffeys Pearse FC 44%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liffeys Pearse FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRLLS More Ireland - Leinster Senior League
13 Mar 2024
23:00 St. Francis vs Crumlin United Analysis →