St. Francis 1-0 Crumlin United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Leinster Senior League, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
35%
4-5
28%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Francis The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Crumlin United The Market 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH St. Francis vs Crumlin United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Francis edged past Crumlin United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Francis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of St. Francis vs Crumlin United?

St. Francis 1-0 Crumlin United in the Ireland - Leinster Senior League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Francis vs Crumlin United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Francis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Francis 44%, draw 24%, Crumlin United 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Francis), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Francis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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