Tlaxcala 0-3 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.25/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.34
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
0W-4D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
7 Corners 3
25.08.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
07.05.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
04.05.2023 Tlaxcala 2-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
22.02.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
09.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
11.02.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio cruised past Tlaxcala 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day CD Tapatio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.50 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs CD Tapatio?

Tlaxcala 0-3 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 36%, draw 27%, CD Tapatio 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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