Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venados v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Venados
MEK2
2-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Venados
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Venados
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-2
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Venados squeezed past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venados and 1.17 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Venados 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Venados 56%, draw 24%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.