FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.62
Over 2.5
53%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
58%
-10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
42%
+10.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1-1
AWAY Ural
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva and Ural shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 41% of the ball to Ural's 59%, shots finished 3-15.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Ural?

FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Ural in the Russia - Super Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 36%, draw 27%, Ural 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUSK More Russia - Super Cup
13 Mar 2024
15:30 Volgar Astrakhan vs FC Akhmat Grozny Analysis →