Volgar Astrakhan 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volgar Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +129% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volgar Astrakhan
1-2
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volgar Astrakhan vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny squeezed past Volgar Astrakhan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Akhmat Grozny as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volgar Astrakhan had 56% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 44%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Volgar Astrakhan vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Volgar Astrakhan 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Super Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volgar Astrakhan vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Volgar Astrakhan 28%, draw 24%, FC Akhmat Grozny 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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