13/03/2024
·
23:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
45%
28%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Folgore v Juvenes / Dogana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Folgore
The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Juvenes / Dogana
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
325 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
305 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Folgore squeezed past Juvenes / Dogana 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Folgore made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana?
Folgore 1-0 Juvenes / Dogana in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Folgore win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Folgore 36%, draw 28%, Juvenes / Dogana 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36)
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SANM
More San Marino - Şampiyona
13 Mar 2024