Murata 0-1 Virtus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over Pick
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
36%
4-5
29%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.8pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Murata The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus The Market 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
487 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Murata vs Virtus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus squeezed past Murata 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Murata carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Murata vs Virtus?

Murata 0-1 Virtus in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Murata vs Virtus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Murata win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Murata 59%, draw 22%, Virtus 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Murata) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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