Mura 1-2 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.46
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 39% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
-4.0pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.41/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.91
+19% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
2W-2D-2L
AWAY NK Bravo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
16.09.2023 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
29.04.2023 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
25.02.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
02.11.2022 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
20.08.2022 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-1 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-2
AWAY NK Bravo
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mura vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Bravo edged past Mura 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 36% / 35% — and on the day NK Bravo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mura had 49% of the ball to NK Bravo's 51%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mura and 0.67 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of Mura vs NK Bravo?

Mura 1-2 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mura 29%, draw 36%, NK Bravo 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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