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Adelaide United (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adelaide United (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Adelaide United (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
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2-2
HT 1-2
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Perth Glory (K)
AVUSTW
3-1
HT 2-0
Perth Glory (K)
AVUSTW
Adelaide United (K) 2-1 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Adelaide United (K) nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adelaide United (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 55% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 45%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.32 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 1.40 for Perth Glory (K).
What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?
Adelaide United (K) 2-1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 62%, draw 19%, Perth Glory (K) 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.