Perth Glory (K) 3-1 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 15 Dec 2024

Perth Glory (K)
3-1 HT 1-0
Adelaide United (K)
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-64% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
210 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 82%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.6 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.73 xG 2.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
360 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.12.2018 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
10.11.2017 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW

Perth Glory (K) 3-1 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
3-1
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
2.37 xG 0.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
205 Passes 281
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory (K) saw off Adelaide United (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 45% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 55%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.37 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Adelaide United (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 2.50 for Adelaide United (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 3-1 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 33%, draw 26%, Adelaide United (K) 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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