Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.08/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.07
-17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
18.5 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
312 Passes 385
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
12.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.53 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 241
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) squeezed past Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brisbane Roar (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 58% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 42%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.53 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.50 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 54%, draw 22%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
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