Lyngby 4-1 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

Lyngby
4-1 HT 2-1
Middelfart
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Lyngby vs Middelfart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.54
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
3%
19.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
3.83
X/2
3%
16.7
X/X
6%
7.55
2/1
9%
20.8
2/2
5%
13.9
2/X
8%
22.25
Value flag · X/1 at 3.83 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
71%
+0.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.5pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyngby v Middelfart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.05/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.11
+8% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.5 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lyngby vs Middelfart Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Middelfart
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.83 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
425 Passes 360
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Middelfart Middelfart 2-2 HT 0-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1

Lyngby 4-1 Middelfart — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
4-1
AWAY Middelfart
0.91 xG 0.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
547 Passes 408
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby ran out comfortable winners over Middelfart 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyngby as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lyngby had 56% of the ball to Middelfart's 44%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.91 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Middelfart?

Lyngby 4-1 Middelfart in the Denmark 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 72%, draw 17%, Middelfart 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyngby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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