Al Ahli 1-1 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 13 Mar 2026

Al Ahli
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Arabi
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Qatar League – 2025/2026

Al Ahli vs Al Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.59
6+ Goals
18%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli v Al Arabi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.63/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.81
+61% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 84%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
9.7 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Al Ahli vs Al Arabi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Arabi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
370 Passes 399
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
23.02.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
22.09.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 3-3 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
30.08.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
16.03.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
11.11.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-6 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli and Al Arabi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahli and 1.67 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Arabi?

Al Ahli 1-1 Al Arabi in the Qatar League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 27%, draw 24%, Al Arabi 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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