Al Sadd vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Sadd v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Sadd vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-0
HT 4-0
Umm Salal
KAT
1-3
HT 0-2
Al Sadd
KAT
Al Sadd 2-5 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics
Umm Salal swept aside Al Sadd 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Al Sadd carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Sadd had 66% of the ball to Umm Salal's 34%, shots finished 30-15, expected goals 3.90 to 3.03 — on chances, Al Sadd could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Al Sadd and 2.00 for Umm Salal.
What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Umm Salal?
Al Sadd 2-5 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Umm Salal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 72%, draw 13%, Umm Salal 14%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.