Al Sadd 0-5 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.41
2-3 Goals
34%
2.37
4-5 Goals
28%
2.27
6+ Goals
19%
3.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
3.46/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.36
+38% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +78%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Umm Salal
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.51 xG 0.79
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
555 Passes 160
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
13.09.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-3 HT 0-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
21.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 6-0 HT 4-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
18.08.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
04.02.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
01.10.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
0-5
AWAY Umm Salal
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 30
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal cruised past Al Sadd 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Al Sadd carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Al Sadd had 42% of the ball to Umm Salal's 58%, shots finished 5-30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Sadd and 1.17 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Umm Salal?

Al Sadd 0-5 Umm Salal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 61%, draw 17%, Umm Salal 22%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Sadd), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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