Umm Salal vs Al Sadd Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Sadd — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Sadd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-0
HT 4-0
Umm Salal
KAT
1-3
HT 0-2
Al Sadd
KAT
2-0
HT 1-0
Umm Salal
KAT
Umm Salal 3-8 Al Sadd — Actual Match Statistics
Al Sadd cruised past Umm Salal 8-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 8-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Umm Salal had 34% of the ball to Al Sadd's 66%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 2.12 to 3.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Umm Salal and 2.17 for Al Sadd.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Sadd?
Umm Salal 3-8 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Sadd?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 12%, draw 17%, Al Sadd 71%. The final score 3-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.