Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 Tauras Taurage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
7.95
Draw
11%
5.28
Away
80%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
65%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
10%
-0.6pp
11%
Draw
16%
-4.2pp
80%
Away Win
75%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 80%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.41/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.52
+72% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +75%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
216 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 497 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Tauras Taurage
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-1 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
21.06.2025 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 2-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
13.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-2 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
26.05.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 5-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tauras Taurage as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tauras Taurage led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 2.50 for Tauras Taurage.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Tauras Taurage?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Tauras Taurage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 9%, draw 11%, Tauras Taurage 80%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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