Be1 NFA 3-1 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

Be1 NFA
3-1 HT 1-1
BFA
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.5pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.46/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.78
-15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
4W-1D-1L
AWAY BFA
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2025 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 0-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
24.05.2025 BFA BFA 3-0 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
14.09.2024 BFA BFA 0-1 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
26.04.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-0 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
16.09.2023 BFA BFA 0-1 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
20.04.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
3-1
AWAY BFA
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA beat BFA 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 52% of the ball to BFA's 48%, shots finished 4-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Be1 NFA and 0.67 for BFA.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs BFA?

Be1 NFA 3-1 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 51%, draw 25%, BFA 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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