BFA 3-0 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2025

BFA
3-0 HT 1-0
Be1 NFA
📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.54/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.23
+40% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Be1 NFA
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 BFA BFA 0-1 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
26.04.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-0 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
16.09.2023 BFA BFA 0-1 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
20.04.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
03.09.2022 BFA BFA 1-1 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
01.05.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 3-2 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH BFA vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA swept aside Be1 NFA 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BFA and 1.50 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of BFA vs Be1 NFA?

BFA 3-0 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split BFA 55%, draw 22%, Be1 NFA 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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