Lietava Jonava 3-1 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.47
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
63%
-22.5pp
32%
Draw
20%
+12.1pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 21%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.16
-45% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-2 HT 1-1 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
07.04.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 0-2 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
3-1
AWAY FA Siauliai II
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava saw off FA Siauliai II 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lietava Jonava as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lietava Jonava had 50% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 50%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lietava Jonava and 2.50 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs FA Siauliai II?

Lietava Jonava 3-1 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 41%, draw 32%, FA Siauliai II 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lietava Jonava), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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