Tauras Taurage 2-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.1pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 12%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
3.46/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.49
+60% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
451 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tauras Taurage
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nevezis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.10.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 2-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
01.06.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tauras Taurage
2-1
AWAY Nevezis
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage nicked a narrow win over Nevezis 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tauras Taurage as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tauras Taurage had 67% of the ball to Nevezis's 33%, shots finished 28-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tauras Taurage and 1.00 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis?

Tauras Taurage 2-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 61%, draw 21%, Nevezis 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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