19/10/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS No
★★
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
26%
Draw
25%
32%
Away Win
28%
56%
Under 2.5
44%
44%
Over 2.5
56%
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
53%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tauras Taurage v Nevezis — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tauras Taurage
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nevezis
EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
1.96/0.83
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.98/1.34
+28%
/
+49%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-22%
/
+14%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
371 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.6
Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tauras Taurage
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Nevezis
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tauras Taurage nicked a narrow win over Nevezis 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tauras Taurage as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis?
Tauras Taurage 2-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 42%, draw 26%, Nevezis 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More Lithuania - 1st Division
19 Oct 2024