Tauras Taurage 2-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.96/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.34
+28% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tauras Taurage
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nevezis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.06.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage nicked a narrow win over Nevezis 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tauras Taurage as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis?

Tauras Taurage 2-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 42%, draw 26%, Nevezis 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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