Atmosfera 0-1 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.54/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.38
-3% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ekranas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 2-3 HT 1-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
21.10.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-4 HT 0-4 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
18.06.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas nicked a narrow win over Atmosfera 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Ekranas made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ekranas led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atmosfera and 2.33 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Ekranas?

Atmosfera 0-1 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 37%, draw 29%, Ekranas 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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