Ekranas 2-3 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.15/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.75/2.07
-23% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 26
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-4 HT 0-4 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
18.06.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera nicked a narrow win over Ekranas 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ekranas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ekranas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ekranas and 0.50 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs Atmosfera?

Ekranas 2-3 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekranas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 44%, draw 26%, Atmosfera 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ekranas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ekranas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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