Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+11.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 59%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.96/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.23
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
198 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
21.10.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
06.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
02.06.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
05.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
13.11.2022 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
0-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris edged past Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 44% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 56%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.83 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 31%, draw 26%, Kauno Zalgiris 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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