BFA 3-3 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.8pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 33%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
2.47/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.72
+72% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Panevezys II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.07.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
11.03.2023 BFA BFA 3-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
05.08.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-2 HT 2-1 BFA BFA LIT1
27.03.2022 BFA BFA 2-2 HT 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
POST-MATCH BFA vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA and Panevezys II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was BFA at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFA and 1.75 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of BFA vs Panevezys II?

BFA 3-3 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFA 43%, draw 25%, Panevezys II 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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