TransINVEST Vilnius 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.18
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
51%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
11%
+11.9pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.7pp
51%
Away Win
71%
-19.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 75%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.71
+111% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +54%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
202 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1-3
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius got the better of TransINVEST Vilnius 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 35% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 65%, shots finished 5-15.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 23%, draw 26%, Zalgiris Vilnius 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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