Panevezys II 1-1 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.4pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.41/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.98
-4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
1W-3D-1L
AWAY BFA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 BFA BFA 3-3 HT 2-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
31.07.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
11.03.2023 BFA BFA 3-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
05.08.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-2 HT 2-1 BFA BFA LIT1
27.03.2022 BFA BFA 2-2 HT 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II and BFA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was BFA at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panevezys II and 2.20 for BFA.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs BFA?

Panevezys II 1-1 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 31%, draw 29%, BFA 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BFA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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