Minija 2-0 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.67/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.55
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Panevezys II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Minija Minija 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
21.06.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-3 HT 0-2 Minija Minija LIT1
07.10.2023 Minija Minija 4-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
22.05.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-2 HT 1-2 Minija Minija LIT1
09.07.2022 Minija Minija 2-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
21.03.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija beat Panevezys II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Minija and 0.83 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Minija vs Panevezys II?

Minija 2-0 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Minija 46%, draw 26%, Panevezys II 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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