Minija 1-1 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
1.66/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.83
-10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Panevezys II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-3 HT 0-2 Minija Minija LIT1
07.10.2023 Minija Minija 4-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
22.05.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-2 HT 1-2 Minija Minija LIT1
09.07.2022 Minija Minija 2-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
21.03.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija and Panevezys II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Minija at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Minija and 0.80 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Minija vs Panevezys II?

Minija 1-1 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Minija 47%, draw 26%, Panevezys II 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minija), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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