08/11/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Be1 NFA vs FK Riteriai Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
24%
Draw
26%
39%
Away Win
46%
47%
Under 2.5
43%
53%
Over 2.5
57%
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
45%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Be1 NFA v FK Riteriai — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Be1 NFA
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
FK Riteriai
EU Bookmakers 50%
+10% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+11% /
+11%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.76/0.99
-26%
/
+37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+12%
/
+15%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
271 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
319 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Be1 NFA vs FK Riteriai Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Be1 NFA
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
FK Riteriai
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Be1 NFA vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Be1 NFA edged past FK Riteriai 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Be1 NFA made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs FK Riteriai?
Be1 NFA 1-0 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs FK Riteriai?
Before kick-off our model rated an FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 36%, draw 24%, FK Riteriai 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (FK Riteriai)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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More Lithuania - 1st Division
8 Nov 2024