Garliava 0-4 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 54%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 2-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
13.10.2023 Garliava Garliava 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
29.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Garliava
0-4
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II cruised past Garliava 4-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kauno Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Garliava had 45% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 55%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Garliava and 1.33 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Garliava 0-4 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Garliava 27%, draw 29%, Kauno Zalgiris II 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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