08/11/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
3-1
Nevezis vs Hegelmann II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
19%
Draw
15%
17%
Away Win
11%
37%
Under 2.5
24%
63%
Over 2.5
76%
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
49%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nevezis v Hegelmann II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nevezis
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hegelmann II
EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
2.05/0.84
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.40/2.98
-8%
/
+0%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-53%
/
-30%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
464 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
284 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
Nevezis vs Hegelmann II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Nevezis
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Hegelmann II
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
61%
Ball Possession
39%
32
Total Shots
5
11
Shots on Target
2
9
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Nevezis vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nevezis cruised past Hegelmann II 4-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nevezis as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.
What was the final score of Nevezis vs Hegelmann II?
Nevezis 4-0 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Hegelmann II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 64%, draw 19%, Hegelmann II 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Nevezis)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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8 Nov 2024