Hegelmann II 1-0 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.99/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.98
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
1-0
AWAY Nevezis
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 32
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II nicked a narrow win over Nevezis 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 39% of the ball to Nevezis's 61%, shots finished 5-32.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Nevezis?

Hegelmann II 1-0 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 24%, draw 25%, Nevezis 51%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
21 Jun 2024
18:00 Panevezys II vs Minija Analysis →
18:30 Atmosfera vs Babrungas Analysis →
19:00 Kauno Zalgiris II vs Garliava Analysis →