Atmosfera 0-2 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2024

Atmosfera
0-2 HT 0-1
Babrungas
📅21/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Atmosfera vs Babrungas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atmosfera v Babrungas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.38/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.01
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Atmosfera vs Babrungas Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Babrungas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.07.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 7-1 HT 3-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
18.03.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas got the better of Atmosfera 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atmosfera and 4.00 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Babrungas?

Atmosfera 0-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 42%, draw 26%, Babrungas 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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